Saturday, February 27, 2016

UPCOMING REPUBLICAN/DEMOCRAT PRIMARIES

SEC Primary and more:
March 1, known as the SEC primary, marks the most delegates awarded on a single day.
The belt of mostly southern states has been key for both Trump and Cruz, and Cruz gets the home-field advantage in the Lone Star State. 
If a number of candidates emerge from the first four states thinking they can still compete, the outcome on March 1 could winnow the field. Yet because the contests are proportional, it may be unlikely for one candidate to  walk away with a majority of delegates.
All of these states hand out delegates proportionally, with various minimum percentages required to win them:
                Alabama primary (50 delegates)
                Alaska caucus (28 delegates)
                Arkansas primary(40 delegates)
                Georgia primary (76 delegates)
                Massachusetts primary (42 delegates)
                Minnesota caucus (38 delegates)
                Oklahoma primary (43 delegates)
                Tennessee primary (58 delegates)
                Texas primary (155 delegates)
                Vermont primary (16 delegates)
                Virginia (49 delegates)
Precursor to Super Tuesday:
In between the two biggest days for delegates – the SEC primary and Super Tuesday — campaigns will look for momentum with pickups in these states.  All of these states reward delegates proportionally.
March 5:           
               Kansas caucus (40 delegates)
               Kentucky caucus (46 delegates)
               Louisiana primary (46 delegates)
               Maine caucus (23 delegates)
March 6:            
               Puerto Rico primary (23 delegates)
               Hawaii caucus (19 delegates)
               Michigan primary (59 delegates)
               Mississippi primary (40 delegates)
               Washington D.C. convention (19 delegates)
Super Tuesday:
As of March 15, Super Tuesday, states can award all delegates to one candidate. Florida's 99 delegates are a particularly big prize because it is a winner-take-all state, unlike New York and Texas. It will almost assuredly award the most delegates to a single candidate of any other state.
Rubio likely see their home state as a firewall, hoping their deep roots can translate in to a major reward. But Trump’s current lead there leaves that plan in doubt, and could keep the door open for Cruz if he woos the real estate magnate’s supporters.
Ohio's 66 delegates will also be winner take all. That puts KasichOhio’s popular governor, in a similar spot there as the Floridians, if he can sustain momentum to survive until then.  
Florida primary (99 delegates)
Ohio primary (66 delegates) 
Northern Mariana Islands caucuses (9 delegates)  
Illinois primary (69 delegates) 
Missouri primary (52 delegates)
North Carolina primary (72 delegates) 
Race slows into April:
More than 200 delegates will be awarded in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states in April, a potential boon for establishment candidates. If the race isn’t wrapped up by this point, the slower pace could hurt campaigns strapped for cash. 
March 19:     Virgin Islands caucus (9 delegates) 
March 22:     Arizona primary (58 delegates) 
                    Utah caucus (40 delegates) l
April 5:         Wisconsin primary (43 delegates)  
April 19:       New York primary(95 delegates) 
April 26:       Connecticut primary (28 delegates) 
                  Maryland primary (38 delegates)  
                   Delaware primary (16 delegates) 
                Pennsylvania (71 delegates) 
                    Rhode Island (19 delegates) 
Last chance:
Unless the party is heading toward a brokered convention, it’s unlikely the race makes it to May. The last time more than one major GOP candidate ran into May of primary season was George H.W. Bush in 1980, who dropped out in early May.
May 3:        Indiana (57 delegates) 
May 10:      Nebraska (36 delegates 
                  West Virginia (34 delegates) 
May 17:      Oregon (28 delegates) 
May 24:      Washington (44 delegates) 
June 7:       California (172 delegates) 
                  Montana (27 delegates)
                  New Jersey (51 delegates) 
                  New Mexico (24 delegates) 
                 South Dakota (29 delegates) 
Colorado, North Dakota, Wyoming, American Samoa and Guam won't hold presidential preference votes in 2016 in the hopes of granting delegates more autonomy. But because of obscure state party rules, Unversity of Georgia political science professor Josh Putnam told The Hill, North Dakota is the only one likely to send completely unbound delegates to the convention. 
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